A Gift for Iran!

Saudi journalist Jamal Khasogi Photo: AFP

A Gift for Iran!

Trump administration is not ready to accept it now. But it is true that his Middle East strategy is now in deep trouble. The problem was triggered by the murder of dissident dissident Jamal Khasogi in Turkey's Consulate of Turkey last month.

Trump administration aims to reduce Iran's influence in the Middle East. That is why they have adopted the strategy of developing close relations with Saudi Arabia. But everything went upside down in the murder of the Khasogi. We can now hope that Tehran can easily influence its influence on the Middle East. Tehran will still be able to do this despite the US sanctions last week.

Iran's leaders are now very confident that they can maintain influence in the Middle East as before. They will now be interested in creating new trade contacts with Europe, Russia and China to recover the financial loss caused by the US sanctions.

Last year Iran was able to avoid tensions with the United States. Because of this, he had confidence in Russia that the country would remain firm on its policy on Syria. Iran has not yet given any indication of Syria's abandonment, even after the Israeli attacks on Iranian bases in Syria, they are surprisingly calm.

Now Tehran leaders hope that weak Saudi Arabia will stop the military campaign in Yemen and lift the blockade on Qatar - both will be forced to do it. Iranians from the beginning wanted to discuss with the Saudis. Now Saudi Arabia may be ready to talk to Iran - especially if Saudi Arabia takes the United States and Yemen decides to end the war. Riyadh can also understand the necessity of developing relations with Iran to review relations with Turkey. Ankara is very angry on the killing of a Saudi journalist in Turkey.

The regime in Tehran, it seems, is confident that they will be able to overcome a lot of shocks that have hit Iran's economy because of US sanctions. Iran will now be able to sell enough oil and trade with Europe, China, Russia and India to keep the country's economy active.

The trump administration came out of Iran's nuclear deal. As an excuse to come out, they say this agreement failed to reduce Iran's territorial influence in the Middle East. The trump administration wants to make a stronger deal, which will reduce Iran's influence in the Middle East. But Trump will now see that the promise he made to force Iran to come to the negotiating table is more difficult to implement. If Iran talks, they will not be in weak position. The trump administration will have to go back to the agreement with Iran in the Barak Obama regime and understand that Donald Trump is the wrong technique to enforce pressure. Then Tehran may be ready to speak.

From the beginning, the Trump administration believed that by establishing a close relationship with the Prince of Saudi Arabia, Muhammad bin Salman would be able to pull down Iran's regional influence in the Middle East. But due to a series of errors in Saudi Arabia, the last of which is the murder of the Khasogi, the opposite result. It has created many opportunities for Iran to take strategic initiatives.

Khasogi killings brought the issue of President Trump's weakness to the public. Despite having a close relationship with the United States, this incident weakened the Saudi Prince. Now there is doubt about Saudi capability to help Israel and make an agreement with Palestine. Israel's position has also weakened in khasogi killings and Turkey's position has been strong.

It is clear now that Saudi Arabia will not be able to curb Iran and Syria will not be able to consult Lebanon and Yemen. If not, Donald Trump plans to send a large number of soldiers to do this. If the region wants stability, Trump will have to pay attention to ending the Middle East wars.

Wellie and Nasser: Dean of Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies in Washington